"With the waning of globalization, post-Cold War world is becoming a site of sovereign nationalism." Elucidate.
Question #10 2025
Waning Globalization & Nationalism
Topper's Answer
The immediate post-Cold War era was characterized by the "End of History" thesis, which envisaged the universalization of liberal democracy and hyper-globalization. However, the contemporary global order is experiencing a profound paradigm shift. Driven by structural inequalities, geopolitical competition, and global crises, the world is witnessing "slowbalisation" and the resurgence of sovereign nationalism—a doctrine where national security, state sovereignty, and self-interest dictate domestic and foreign policy, superseding global integration.
The Waning of Globalization The retreat of globalization is marked by the reversal of borderless trade and the "weaponization of interdependence."
- Protectionism over Free Trade: The dismantling of tariff barriers has stalled. The World Trade Organization (WTO) is paralyzed, particularly its Appellate Body, leading states to abandon global trade rules in favor of bilateral arrangements.
- Supply Chain Disruptions: Successive shocks—the 2008 Financial Crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the Russia-Ukraine war—exposed the vulnerabilities of hyper-connected supply chains, prompting a shift from "just-in-time" efficiency to "just-in-case" resilience.
Drivers of Rising Sovereign Nationalism The transition from a borderless economic order to a landscape of sovereign nationalism is elucidating across several dimensions:
1. Economic Nationalism and "Friend-shoring" States are increasingly viewing economic dependence as a strategic vulnerability.
- Manifestation: There is a distinct shift toward industrial policy and self-reliance. Policies like the USA’s "America First" (CHIPS and Science Act, Inflation Reduction Act), China's "Dual Circulation," and the global trend of "friend-shoring" highlight the securitization of economic policies.
2. Techno-Nationalism and Data Sovereignty Technology is no longer viewed merely as a tool for global connectivity, but as the primary theater for great power rivalry and national security.
- Manifestation: The US-China "tech war" (e.g., bans on Huawei, semiconductor export controls) and the push for "Data Sovereignty" (data localization laws in India, the EU's GDPR, and China's Great Firewall) illustrate states asserting sovereign boundaries in the digital realm.
3. Resource Nationalism The transition to green energy and advanced technologies has sparked a scramble for critical minerals, leading states to exert sovereign control over their natural resources.
- Manifestation: Export bans on raw materials, such as Indonesia’s ban on nickel exports and China’s restrictions on gallium and germanium, reflect states prioritizing national industrial capacity over global supply.
4. Failure of Multilateralism and Rise of "Self-Help" The inability of global institutions like the UN and WHO to effectively manage global crises (e.g., vaccine inequity during COVID-19, inability to prevent the Russia-Ukraine conflict) has eroded trust in global governance.
- Manifestation: The phenomenon of "Vaccine Nationalism," where rich nations hoarded supplies, underscored the primacy of the sovereign state during crises. Consequently, grand multilateralism is being replaced by transactional minilateralism (e.g., QUAD, AUKUS, I2U2), which serves specific sovereign strategic interests.
5. Socio-Cultural Populism Decades of unchecked globalization led to widening domestic inequalities, job losses in developed nations, and a perceived threat to indigenous cultures from unregulated immigration.
- Manifestation: This has fueled right-wing populism and identity-based sovereign nationalism across the globe, most notably evidenced by Brexit and the tightening of immigration regimes across Europe.
Nuancing the Narrative: Reglobalization over Deglobalization While the utopian vision of unhindered globalization is waning, globalization is not dead; rather, it is mutating into "Gated Globalization" or "Reglobalization." Cross-border flows of services, data, and intellectual capital continue to grow. Furthermore, transnational challenges like climate change, pandemics, and space exploration inherently mandate global cooperation, setting a limit on how isolated sovereign nations can become.
Conclusion The post-Cold War world is currently trapped in a transitional phase where the old liberal multilateral order is dying, and a new multipolar order is struggling to be born. In this fragmented landscape of sovereign nationalism, India’s foreign policy approach of "Strategic Autonomy" combined with "Vishwa Mitra" (being a friend to the world) provides a pragmatic template. By advocating for "Reformed Multilateralism" and inclusive platforms like the Global South, India demonstrates how states can safeguard sovereign national interests without descending into zero-sum isolationism.